A model/simulator to learn about and use the Kaya Identity to predict future carbon emissions.

Students will customize parameters such as changes in population, GDP per capita, energy intensity, and carbon intensity of energy sources to observe the model’s predictions on future carbon emissions.

Use this tool to help your students find answers to:

  1. Determine the amount of carbon emissions and the change in global surface temperature if the population of the Earth is doubled.
  2. Determine the amount of carbon emissions and the change in global surface temperature if the rate of change of the GDP per capita is 2% per year.

About the Tool

Tool Name Kaya Identity Scenario Prognosticator
Discipline Economics, Environmental Science
Topic(s) in Discipline Future Carbon Emissions, Climate and GDP, Population, Energy
Climate Topic Energy, Economics, and Climate Change
Type of Tool Model/Simulator
Grade Level Undergraduate
Location  Global
Language English
Translation
Developed by David Archer (The University of Chicago)
Hosted at David Archer Climate Models
Link http://climatemodels.uchicago.edu/kaya/kaya.doc.html
Access Online
Computer Skills Intermediate

Kaya