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Analyzing Trends and Calculating Uncertainty using Hurricane Data Records

Overview

As an undergraduate Statistics teacher, you can use this set of computer-based tools to help you in teaching statistical analysis topics such as Trends, Uncertainty, Confidence interval, and Student’s t-distribution.

As an undergraduate Geography or Earth Sciences teacher, you can use this set of computer-based tools to help you in teaching disasters, hurricanes, the possible impact of climate change on hurricanes, and the analysis of trends in hurricane intensity.

This lesson plan allows your students to perform statistical analysis and interpretation of data (specifically, analyzing trends and determining uncertainty) by using hurricane data records. In the activity, students will explore possible trends in hurricane intensity and number over the past 40 years, and will investigate a possible link between climate change and hurricane strength.

Thus, the use of this lesson plan allows you to integrate the teaching of a climate science topic with a core topic in Statistics, Geography, or Earth Sciences.

Learning Outcome

The tools in this lesson plan will enable students to:

  1.  Calculate trends in data
  2. Determine uncertainty and evaluate confidence in trends using Student’s t-distribution
  3. Discuss the possible impacts of climate change on the intensity and number of hurricanes

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